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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Real Pilar vs Ituzaingó 100,000 times. Real Pilar won 68,531 of them (68.5%), the draw came up 20.8% of the time and Ituzaingó won 10.7%. The most likely score is 1-0 (18.1%), and both teams score in 33.2% of simulations.
Full time 0-0. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 20.8% and gave this exact score 9.7%.
| Real Pilar win | 68.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.8% |
| Ituzaingó win | 10.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (18.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.79 – 0.52 |
| Both teams to score | 33.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 20.6% |
| Real Pilar score first | 70.7% |
| Ituzaingó score first | 19.5% |
| Real Pilar clean sheet | 59.5% |
| Ituzaingó clean sheet | 17% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420503630 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Real Pilar are favourites. They win 68.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.8% for the draw and 10.7% for Ituzaingó. Including the draw, Real Pilar avoid defeat 89.3% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 18.1% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (15.7%) and 0-0 (9.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 33.2% of simulations. Real Pilar keep a clean sheet 59.5% of the time and Ituzaingó 17%.
The simulations average 2.32 goals: 1.79 for Real Pilar and 0.52 for Ituzaingó. Over 1.5 goals lands 66.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 40.7% and over 3.5 goals 20.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.