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We simulated Reipas vs Union Plaani 100,000 times. Reipas won 47,557 of them (47.6%), the draw came up 22.9% of the time and Union Plaani won 29.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9%, while the likeliest Reipas win is 2-1 (8.3%). Both teams score in 72% of simulations.
Full time 4-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Reipas winning 47.6%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Reipas win | 47.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.9% |
| Union Plaani win | 29.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (9%) |
| Expected goals | 2.14 – 1.67 |
| Both teams to score | 72% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 52.5% |
| Reipas score first | 54% |
| Union Plaani score first | 42.5% |
| Reipas clean sheet | 19.3% |
| Union Plaani clean sheet | 12.3% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420676121 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Reipas are favourites. They win 47.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.9% for the draw and 29.6% for Union Plaani. Including the draw, Reipas avoid defeat 70.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 9% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Reipas win is 2-1 (8.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 72% of simulations. Reipas keep a clean sheet 19.3% of the time and Union Plaani 12.3%.
The simulations average 3.80 goals: 2.14 for Reipas and 1.67 for Union Plaani. Over 1.5 goals lands 90.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 72.8% and over 3.5 goals 52.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.