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Kakkonen · 100,000 simulations

Reipas vs Union Plaani prediction

We simulated Reipas vs Union Plaani 100,000 times. Reipas won 47,557 of them (47.6%), the draw came up 22.9% of the time and Union Plaani won 29.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9%, while the likeliest Reipas win is 2-1 (8.3%). Both teams score in 72% of simulations.

Reipas badge
Reipas Kisapuiston tekonurmi
4–0 Full time
Union Plaani badge
Union Plaani Away
47.6% 47,557 wins
22.9% Draw
29.6% 29,565 wins
Expected goals
2.14 – 1.67
Likeliest score
1-1 9% Top Reipas win: 2-1 8.3%
Both score
72%
Over 2.5
72.8%

Full time 4-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Reipas winning 47.6%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Lina Lehtovaara Kisapuiston tekonurmi, Lahti
Reipas vs Union Plaani live score, stats & lineups

Reipas vs Union Plaani in numbers 100,000 simulations · Kakkonen · Saturday 3 October, 16:00

Reipas vs Union Plaani simulation probabilities
Reipas win47.6%
Draw22.9%
Union Plaani win29.6%
Most likely score1-1 (9%)
Expected goals2.14 – 1.67
Both teams to score72%
Over 1.5 goals90.1%
Over 2.5 goals72.8%
Over 3.5 goals52.5%
Reipas score first54%
Union Plaani score first42.5%
Reipas clean sheet19.3%
Union Plaani clean sheet12.3%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420676121
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Reipas vs Union Plaani prediction FAQs

Who will win Reipas vs Union Plaani?

Reipas are favourites. They win 47.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.9% for the draw and 29.6% for Union Plaani. Including the draw, Reipas avoid defeat 70.4% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Reipas vs Union Plaani?

1-1, which came up in 9% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Reipas win is 2-1 (8.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Reipas vs Union Plaani?

Both teams score in 72% of simulations. Reipas keep a clean sheet 19.3% of the time and Union Plaani 12.3%.

How many goals will there be in Reipas vs Union Plaani?

The simulations average 3.80 goals: 2.14 for Reipas and 1.67 for Union Plaani. Over 1.5 goals lands 90.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 72.8% and over 3.5 goals 52.5%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.