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We simulated Rīgas FS vs Grobiņa 100,000 times. Rīgas FS won 89,267 of them (89.3%), the draw came up 7.3% of the time and Grobiņa won 3.4%. The most likely score is 3-0 (11.9%), and both teams score in 42.3% of simulations.
Full time 3-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Rīgas FS winning 89.3% and gave this exact score 11.9%.
| Rīgas FS win | 89.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 7.3% |
| Grobiņa win | 3.4% |
| Most likely score | 3-0 (11.9%) |
| Expected goals | 3.49 – 0.58 |
| Both teams to score | 42.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 76.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 57.5% |
| Rīgas FS score first | 83.3% |
| Grobiņa score first | 14.9% |
| Rīgas FS clean sheet | 56% |
| Grobiņa clean sheet | 3.3% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420519504 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Rīgas FS are favourites. They win 89.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 7.3% for the draw and 3.4% for Grobiņa. Including the draw, Rīgas FS avoid defeat 96.6% of the time.
3-0, which came up in 11.9% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (10.4%) and 4-0 (10.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 42.3% of simulations. Rīgas FS keep a clean sheet 56% of the time and Grobiņa 3.3%.
The simulations average 4.07 goals: 3.49 for Rīgas FS and 0.58 for Grobiņa. Over 1.5 goals lands 90.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 76.5% and over 3.5 goals 57.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.