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VIDEO
Predictions Show Episode Featuring Bet Builder
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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Rīgas FS vs Tukums 100,000 times. Rīgas FS won 91,928 of them (91.9%), the draw came up 5.7% of the time and Tukums won 2.4%. The most likely score is 3-0 (11.9%), and both teams score in 40% of simulations.
Full time 2-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Rīgas FS winning 91.9% and gave this exact score 9.6%.
| Rīgas FS win | 91.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 5.7% |
| Tukums win | 2.4% |
| Most likely score | 3-0 (11.9%) |
| Expected goals | 3.80 – 0.53 |
| Both teams to score | 40% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 92.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 79.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 62.2% |
| Rīgas FS score first | 87.6% |
| Tukums score first | 11% |
| Rīgas FS clean sheet | 58.8% |
| Tukums clean sheet | 2.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420519531 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Rīgas FS are favourites. They win 91.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 5.7% for the draw and 2.4% for Tukums. Including the draw, Rīgas FS avoid defeat 97.6% of the time.
3-0, which came up in 11.9% of simulations. Next are 4-0 (11.1%) and 2-0 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 40% of simulations. Rīgas FS keep a clean sheet 58.8% of the time and Tukums 2.5%.
The simulations average 4.33 goals: 3.80 for Rīgas FS and 0.53 for Tukums. Over 1.5 goals lands 92.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 79.9% and over 3.5 goals 62.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.