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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Rio de Janeiro vs 7 de Abril 100,000 times. Rio de Janeiro won 40,368 of them (40.4%), the draw came up 24.5% of the time and 7 de Abril won 35.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.7%, while the likeliest Rio de Janeiro win is 2-1 (8.4%). Both teams score in 65.2% of simulations.
Full time 0-2. Before kick-off the simulations had 7 de Abril winning 35.2% and gave this exact score 4.7%.
| Rio de Janeiro win | 40.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.5% |
| 7 de Abril win | 35.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.71 – 1.59 |
| Both teams to score | 65.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 41.8% |
| Rio de Janeiro score first | 48.5% |
| 7 de Abril score first | 47% |
| Rio de Janeiro clean sheet | 20.9% |
| 7 de Abril clean sheet | 18.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420686599 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Rio de Janeiro are favourites. They win 40.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.5% for the draw and 35.2% for 7 de Abril. Including the draw, Rio de Janeiro avoid defeat 64.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.7% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.4%) and 1-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Rio de Janeiro win is 2-1 (8.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 65.2% of simulations. Rio de Janeiro keep a clean sheet 20.9% of the time and 7 de Abril 18.5%.
The simulations average 3.30 goals: 1.71 for Rio de Janeiro and 1.59 for 7 de Abril. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 63.7% and over 3.5 goals 41.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.