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  1. Simulations
  2. Rio de Janeiro vs Barra Mansa
Carioca B2 · 100,000 simulations

Rio de Janeiro vs Barra Mansa prediction

We simulated Rio de Janeiro vs Barra Mansa 100,000 times. Barra Mansa won 40,570 of them (40.6%), the draw came up 28.8% of the time and Rio de Janeiro won 30.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.5%, while the likeliest Barra Mansa win is 0-1 (10.5%). Both teams score in 50.1% of simulations.

Rio de Janeiro badge
Rio de Janeiro Estádio de Los Lários
2–0 Full time
Barra Mansa badge
Barra Mansa Away
30.7% 30,647 wins
28.8% Draw
40.6% 40,570 wins
Expected goals
1.13 – 1.34
Likeliest score
1-1 13.5% Top Barra Mansa win: 0-1 10.5%
Both score
50.1%
Over 2.5
44.5%

Full time 2-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Rio de Janeiro winning 30.7% and gave this exact score 5.4%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Estádio de Los Lários, Duque de Caxias
Rio de Janeiro vs Barra Mansa live score, stats & lineups

Rio de Janeiro vs Barra Mansa in numbers 100,000 simulations · Carioca B2 · Thursday 1 October, 19:00

Rio de Janeiro vs Barra Mansa simulation probabilities
Rio de Janeiro win30.7%
Draw28.8%
Barra Mansa win40.6%
Most likely score1-1 (13.5%)
Expected goals1.13 – 1.34
Both teams to score50.1%
Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals44.5%
Over 3.5 goals23.6%
Rio de Janeiro score first40.1%
Barra Mansa score first50.1%
Rio de Janeiro clean sheet26.8%
Barra Mansa clean sheet32.9%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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GET /api/predictions/generate/420685839
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Rio de Janeiro vs Barra Mansa prediction FAQs

Who will win Rio de Janeiro vs Barra Mansa?

Barra Mansa are favourites. They win 40.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.8% for the draw and 30.7% for Rio de Janeiro. Including the draw, Barra Mansa avoid defeat 69.4% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Rio de Janeiro vs Barra Mansa?

1-1, which came up in 13.5% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (10.5%) and 0-0 (9.7%). The likeliest Barra Mansa win is 0-1 (10.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Rio de Janeiro vs Barra Mansa?

Both teams score in 50.1% of simulations. Rio de Janeiro keep a clean sheet 26.8% of the time and Barra Mansa 32.9%.

How many goals will there be in Rio de Janeiro vs Barra Mansa?

The simulations average 2.46 goals: 1.13 for Rio de Janeiro and 1.34 for Barra Mansa. Over 1.5 goals lands 71% of the time, over 2.5 goals 44.5% and over 3.5 goals 23.6%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here 1xBet), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.