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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Rio de Janeiro vs Santa Cruz RJ 100,000 times. Santa Cruz RJ won 48,898 of them (48.9%), the draw came up 22% of the time and Rio de Janeiro won 29.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10%, while the likeliest Santa Cruz RJ win is 1-2 (9.2%). Both teams score in 59.3% of simulations.
Full time 1-3. Before kick-off the simulations had Santa Cruz RJ winning 48.9% and gave this exact score 5.5%.
| Rio de Janeiro win | 29.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22% |
| Santa Cruz RJ win | 48.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10%) |
| Expected goals | 1.31 – 1.77 |
| Both teams to score | 59.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% |
| Rio de Janeiro score first | 42.6% |
| Santa Cruz RJ score first | 53.3% |
| Rio de Janeiro clean sheet | 17.5% |
| Santa Cruz RJ clean sheet | 27.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420659466 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Santa Cruz RJ are favourites. They win 48.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22% for the draw and 29.1% for Rio de Janeiro. Including the draw, Santa Cruz RJ avoid defeat 70.9% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-1 (8.8%). The likeliest Santa Cruz RJ win is 1-2 (9.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 59.3% of simulations. Rio de Janeiro keep a clean sheet 17.5% of the time and Santa Cruz RJ 27.5%.
The simulations average 3.08 goals: 1.31 for Rio de Janeiro and 1.77 for Santa Cruz RJ. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 59.1% and over 3.5 goals 37%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.