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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Rizespor vs Erzurumspor FK 100,000 times. Rizespor won 45,942 of them (45.9%), the draw came up 26.8% of the time and Erzurumspor FK won 27.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.6%, while the likeliest Rizespor win is 1-0 (10%). Both teams score in 53.4% of simulations.
| Rizespor win | 45.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.8% |
| Erzurumspor FK win | 27.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.54 – 1.13 |
| Both teams to score | 53.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Rizespor score first | 55.8% |
| Erzurumspor FK score first | 36.6% |
| Rizespor clean sheet | 32.6% |
| Erzurumspor FK clean sheet | 21.8% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420643220 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Rizespor are favourites. They win 45.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.8% for the draw and 27.3% for Erzurumspor FK. Including the draw, Rizespor avoid defeat 72.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.6% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest Rizespor win is 1-0 (10%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 53.4% of simulations. Rizespor keep a clean sheet 32.6% of the time and Erzurumspor FK 21.8%.
The simulations average 2.67 goals: 1.54 for Rizespor and 1.13 for Erzurumspor FK. Over 1.5 goals lands 75% of the time, over 2.5 goals 49.7% and over 3.5 goals 28%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.