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Club Friendlies 3 · 100,000 simulations

Salzburg vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv prediction

We simulated Salzburg vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 100,000 times. Salzburg won 49,200 of them (49.2%), the draw came up 24.2% of the time and Metalist 1925 Kharkiv won 26.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.9%, while the likeliest Salzburg win is 2-1 (9.3%). Both teams score in 62.1% of simulations.

Salzburg badge
Salzburg Red Bull Arena
4–0 Full time
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv badge
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Away
49.2% 49,200 wins
24.2% Draw
26.6% 26,597 wins
Expected goals
1.86 – 1.32
Likeliest score
1-1 10.9% Top Salzburg win: 2-1 9.3%
Both score
62.1%
Over 2.5
61.3%

Full time 4-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Salzburg winning 49.2%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Red Bull Arena, Wals-Siezenheim
Salzburg vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv live score, stats & lineups

Salzburg vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv in numbers 100,000 simulations · Club Friendlies 3 · Thursday 9 July, 16:30

Salzburg vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv simulation probabilities
Salzburg win49.2%
Draw24.2%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv win26.6%
Most likely score1-1 (10.9%)
Expected goals1.86 – 1.32
Both teams to score62.1%
Over 1.5 goals83.1%
Over 2.5 goals61.3%
Over 3.5 goals39.3%
Salzburg score first56.5%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv score first38.2%
Salzburg clean sheet27.1%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv clean sheet16%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420571399
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Salzburg vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv prediction FAQs

Who will win Salzburg vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?

Salzburg are favourites. They win 49.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.2% for the draw and 26.6% for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv. Including the draw, Salzburg avoid defeat 73.4% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Salzburg vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?

1-1, which came up in 10.9% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Salzburg win is 2-1 (9.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Salzburg vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?

Both teams score in 62.1% of simulations. Salzburg keep a clean sheet 27.1% of the time and Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 16%.

How many goals will there be in Salzburg vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?

The simulations average 3.18 goals: 1.86 for Salzburg and 1.32 for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 61.3% and over 3.5 goals 39.3%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.