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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated San Diego vs Cincinnati 100,000 times. San Diego won 53,943 of them (53.9%), the draw came up 21.4% of the time and Cincinnati won 24.7%. The most likely score is 2-1 (8.4%), and both teams score in 72.3% of simulations.
Full time 3-3. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 21.4% and gave this exact score 2.7%.
| San Diego win | 53.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 21.4% |
| Cincinnati win | 24.7% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (8.4%) |
| Expected goals | 2.36 – 1.58 |
| Both teams to score | 72.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 91.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 55.4% |
| San Diego score first | 57.9% |
| Cincinnati score first | 39.1% |
| San Diego clean sheet | 20.9% |
| Cincinnati clean sheet | 9.8% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420510066 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
San Diego are favourites. They win 53.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21.4% for the draw and 24.7% for Cincinnati. Including the draw, San Diego avoid defeat 75.3% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 8.4% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (8.2%) and 2-2 (6.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 72.3% of simulations. San Diego keep a clean sheet 20.9% of the time and Cincinnati 9.8%.
The simulations average 3.95 goals: 2.36 for San Diego and 1.58 for Cincinnati. Over 1.5 goals lands 91.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 75% and over 3.5 goals 55.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.