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Primera Division · 100,000 simulations

San Marcos vs Rancho Santana prediction

We simulated San Marcos vs Rancho Santana 100,000 times. San Marcos won 55,766 of them (55.8%), the draw came up 21.7% of the time and Rancho Santana won 22.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9.8%, while the likeliest San Marcos win is 2-1 (9.6%). Both teams score in 59.8% of simulations.

San Marcos badge
San Marcos Estadio Nacional de Fútbol
2–2 Full time
Rancho Santana badge
Rancho Santana Away
55.8% 55,766 wins
21.7% Draw
22.6% 22,545 wins
Expected goals
2.00 – 1.19
Likeliest score
1-1 9.8% Top San Marcos win: 2-1 9.6%
Both score
59.8%
Over 2.5
61.6%

Full time 2-2. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 21.7% and gave this exact score 5.7%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Ricardo Hernandez Estadio Nacional de Fútbol, Managua
San Marcos vs Rancho Santana live score, stats & lineups

San Marcos vs Rancho Santana in numbers 100,000 simulations · Primera Division · Thursday 29 October, 22:00

San Marcos vs Rancho Santana simulation probabilities
San Marcos win55.8%
Draw21.7%
Rancho Santana win22.6%
Most likely score1-1 (9.8%)
Expected goals2.00 – 1.19
Both teams to score59.8%
Over 1.5 goals82.6%
Over 2.5 goals61.6%
Over 3.5 goals39.6%
San Marcos score first60.2%
Rancho Santana score first35.4%
San Marcos clean sheet30.6%
Rancho Santana clean sheet13.9%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420741501
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

San Marcos vs Rancho Santana prediction FAQs

Who will win San Marcos vs Rancho Santana?

San Marcos are favourites. They win 55.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21.7% for the draw and 22.6% for Rancho Santana. Including the draw, San Marcos avoid defeat 77.5% of the time.

What is the most likely score in San Marcos vs Rancho Santana?

1-1, which came up in 9.8% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.2%). The likeliest San Marcos win is 2-1 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in San Marcos vs Rancho Santana?

Both teams score in 59.8% of simulations. San Marcos keep a clean sheet 30.6% of the time and Rancho Santana 13.9%.

How many goals will there be in San Marcos vs Rancho Santana?

The simulations average 3.19 goals: 2.00 for San Marcos and 1.19 for Rancho Santana. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 61.6% and over 3.5 goals 39.6%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.