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Primera B Metropolitana · 100,000 simulations

San Martín Burzaco vs Excursionistas prediction

We simulated San Martín Burzaco vs Excursionistas 100,000 times. Excursionistas won 60,488 of them (60.5%), the draw came up 22.6% of the time and San Martín Burzaco won 16.9%. The most likely score is 0-1 (14%), and both teams score in 44.6% of simulations.

San Martín Burzaco badge
San Martín Burzaco Estadio Francisco Boga
1–1 Full time
Excursionistas badge
Excursionistas Away
16.9% 16,904 wins
22.6% Draw
60.5% 60,488 wins
Expected goals
0.79 – 1.76
Likeliest score
0-1 14%
Both score
44.6%
Over 2.5
46.7%

Full time 1-1. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 22.6% and gave this exact score 10.5%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Nicolás Agustín Mastroieni Estadio Francisco Boga, Burzaco
San Martín Burzaco vs Excursionistas live score, stats & lineups

San Martín Burzaco vs Excursionistas in numbers 100,000 simulations · Primera B Metropolitana · Saturday 17 October, 19:00

San Martín Burzaco vs Excursionistas simulation probabilities
San Martín Burzaco win16.9%
Draw22.6%
Excursionistas win60.5%
Most likely score0-1 (14%)
Expected goals0.79 – 1.76
Both teams to score44.6%
Over 1.5 goals71.7%
Over 2.5 goals46.7%
Over 3.5 goals25.4%
San Martín Burzaco score first31.9%
Excursionistas score first60.4%
San Martín Burzaco clean sheet17.6%
Excursionistas clean sheet45.6%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420503671
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

San Martín Burzaco vs Excursionistas prediction FAQs

Who will win San Martín Burzaco vs Excursionistas?

Excursionistas are favourites. They win 60.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.6% for the draw and 16.9% for San Martín Burzaco. Including the draw, Excursionistas avoid defeat 83.1% of the time.

What is the most likely score in San Martín Burzaco vs Excursionistas?

0-1, which came up in 14% of simulations. Next are 0-2 (12%) and 1-1 (10.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in San Martín Burzaco vs Excursionistas?

Both teams score in 44.6% of simulations. San Martín Burzaco keep a clean sheet 17.6% of the time and Excursionistas 45.6%.

How many goals will there be in San Martín Burzaco vs Excursionistas?

The simulations average 2.55 goals: 0.79 for San Martín Burzaco and 1.76 for Excursionistas. Over 1.5 goals lands 71.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 46.7% and over 3.5 goals 25.4%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.