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We simulated San Martín Burzaco vs Excursionistas 100,000 times. Excursionistas won 60,488 of them (60.5%), the draw came up 22.6% of the time and San Martín Burzaco won 16.9%. The most likely score is 0-1 (14%), and both teams score in 44.6% of simulations.
Full time 1-1. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 22.6% and gave this exact score 10.5%.
| San Martín Burzaco win | 16.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.6% |
| Excursionistas win | 60.5% |
| Most likely score | 0-1 (14%) |
| Expected goals | 0.79 – 1.76 |
| Both teams to score | 44.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 25.4% |
| San Martín Burzaco score first | 31.9% |
| Excursionistas score first | 60.4% |
| San Martín Burzaco clean sheet | 17.6% |
| Excursionistas clean sheet | 45.6% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420503671 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Excursionistas are favourites. They win 60.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.6% for the draw and 16.9% for San Martín Burzaco. Including the draw, Excursionistas avoid defeat 83.1% of the time.
0-1, which came up in 14% of simulations. Next are 0-2 (12%) and 1-1 (10.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 44.6% of simulations. San Martín Burzaco keep a clean sheet 17.6% of the time and Excursionistas 45.6%.
The simulations average 2.55 goals: 0.79 for San Martín Burzaco and 1.76 for Excursionistas. Over 1.5 goals lands 71.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 46.7% and over 3.5 goals 25.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.