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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated San Miguel vs Ciudad de Bolívar 100,000 times. San Miguel won 37,439 of them (37.4%), the draw came up 34.9% of the time and Ciudad de Bolívar won 27.7%. No single score is common: 0-0 is the likeliest at 17.7%, while the likeliest San Miguel win is 1-0 (15.1%). Both teams score in 36% of simulations.
Full time 1-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Ciudad de Bolívar winning 27.7% and gave this exact score 5.4%.
| San Miguel win | 37.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 34.9% |
| Ciudad de Bolívar win | 27.7% |
| Most likely score | 0-0 (17.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.00 – 0.82 |
| Both teams to score | 36% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 55.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 27.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 11.2% |
| San Miguel score first | 45% |
| Ciudad de Bolívar score first | 37.4% |
| San Miguel clean sheet | 44.5% |
| Ciudad de Bolívar clean sheet | 37.2% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420503191 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
San Miguel are favourites. They win 37.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 34.9% for the draw and 27.7% for Ciudad de Bolívar. Including the draw, San Miguel avoid defeat 72.3% of the time.
0-0, which came up in 17.7% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (15.1%) and 1-1 (14.2%). The likeliest San Miguel win is 1-0 (15.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 36% of simulations. San Miguel keep a clean sheet 44.5% of the time and Ciudad de Bolívar 37.2%.
The simulations average 1.81 goals: 1.00 for San Miguel and 0.82 for Ciudad de Bolívar. Over 1.5 goals lands 55.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 27.3% and over 3.5 goals 11.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.