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Primera B Nacional · 100,000 simulations

San Telmo vs Almirante Brown prediction

We simulated San Telmo vs Almirante Brown 100,000 times. San Telmo won 37,807 of them (37.8%), the draw came up 35.5% of the time and Almirante Brown won 26.7%. No single score is common: 0-0 is the likeliest at 17.8%, while the likeliest San Telmo win is 1-0 (14.6%). Both teams score in 37% of simulations.

San Telmo badge
San Telmo Estadio Dr. Osvaldo Francisco Baletto
3–2 Full time
Almirante Brown badge
Almirante Brown Away
37.8% 37,807 wins
35.5% Draw
26.7% 26,739 wins
Expected goals
1.02 – 0.81
Likeliest score
0-0 17.8% Top San Telmo win: 1-0 14.6%
Both score
37%
Over 2.5
27.9%

Full time 3-2. Before kick-off the simulations had San Telmo winning 37.8% and gave this exact score 0.9%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Javier Del Barba Estadio Dr. Osvaldo Francisco Baletto, Avellaneda
San Telmo vs Almirante Brown live score, stats & lineups

San Telmo vs Almirante Brown in numbers 100,000 simulations · Primera B Nacional · Sunday 4 October, 19:30

San Telmo vs Almirante Brown simulation probabilities
San Telmo win37.8%
Draw35.5%
Almirante Brown win26.7%
Most likely score0-0 (17.8%)
Expected goals1.02 – 0.81
Both teams to score37%
Over 1.5 goals56.2%
Over 2.5 goals27.9%
Over 3.5 goals11.6%
San Telmo score first47%
Almirante Brown score first35.2%
San Telmo clean sheet44.5%
Almirante Brown clean sheet36.3%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420503425
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

San Telmo vs Almirante Brown prediction FAQs

Who will win San Telmo vs Almirante Brown?

San Telmo are favourites. They win 37.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 35.5% for the draw and 26.7% for Almirante Brown. Including the draw, San Telmo avoid defeat 73.3% of the time.

What is the most likely score in San Telmo vs Almirante Brown?

0-0, which came up in 17.8% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (14.7%) and 1-0 (14.6%). The likeliest San Telmo win is 1-0 (14.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in San Telmo vs Almirante Brown?

Both teams score in 37% of simulations. San Telmo keep a clean sheet 44.5% of the time and Almirante Brown 36.3%.

How many goals will there be in San Telmo vs Almirante Brown?

The simulations average 1.84 goals: 1.02 for San Telmo and 0.81 for Almirante Brown. Over 1.5 goals lands 56.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 27.9% and over 3.5 goals 11.6%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.