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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Sanjoanense vs Nacional 100,000 times. Nacional won 69,706 of them (69.7%), the draw came up 18.2% of the time and Sanjoanense won 12.1%. The most likely score is 0-2 (11.8%), and both teams score in 49.1% of simulations.
Full time 1-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Sanjoanense winning 12.1% and gave this exact score 3.8%.
| Sanjoanense win | 12.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 18.2% |
| Nacional win | 69.7% |
| Most likely score | 0-2 (11.8%) |
| Expected goals | 0.81 – 2.25 |
| Both teams to score | 49.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 36.5% |
| Sanjoanense score first | 26.3% |
| Nacional score first | 68.7% |
| Sanjoanense clean sheet | 10.9% |
| Nacional clean sheet | 44.9% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420725904 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Nacional are favourites. They win 69.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 18.2% for the draw and 12.1% for Sanjoanense. Including the draw, Nacional avoid defeat 87.9% of the time.
0-2, which came up in 11.8% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (10.6%) and 1-2 (9.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 49.1% of simulations. Sanjoanense keep a clean sheet 10.9% of the time and Nacional 44.9%.
The simulations average 3.06 goals: 0.81 for Sanjoanense and 2.25 for Nacional. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 58.6% and over 3.5 goals 36.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.