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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Santa Lucia vs Aguacatán 100,000 times. Santa Lucia won 54,277 of them (54.3%), the draw came up 31.1% of the time and Aguacatán won 14.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 14.2%, while the likeliest Santa Lucia win is 1-0 (12.7%). Both teams score in 43.9% of simulations.
Full time 1-1. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 31.1% and gave this exact score 14.2%.
| Santa Lucia win | 54.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 31.1% |
| Aguacatán win | 14.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (14.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.57 – 0.74 |
| Both teams to score | 43.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 20.4% |
| Santa Lucia score first | 59.3% |
| Aguacatán score first | 27.5% |
| Santa Lucia clean sheet | 48.1% |
| Aguacatán clean sheet | 21.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420711336 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Santa Lucia are favourites. They win 54.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 31.1% for the draw and 14.7% for Aguacatán. Including the draw, Santa Lucia avoid defeat 85.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 14.2% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (13.1%) and 1-0 (12.7%). The likeliest Santa Lucia win is 1-0 (12.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 43.9% of simulations. Santa Lucia keep a clean sheet 48.1% of the time and Aguacatán 21.1%.
The simulations average 2.31 goals: 1.57 for Santa Lucia and 0.74 for Aguacatán. Over 1.5 goals lands 69.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 40.6% and over 3.5 goals 20.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.