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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Santos Laguna vs Necaxa 100,000 times. Santos Laguna won 54,861 of them (54.9%), the draw came up 22.7% of the time and Necaxa won 22.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.2%, while the likeliest Santos Laguna win is 2-1 (9.5%). Both teams score in 61.9% of simulations.
Full time 1-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Santos Laguna winning 54.9% and gave this exact score 7.1%.
| Santos Laguna win | 54.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.7% |
| Necaxa win | 22.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.2%) |
| Expected goals | 2.03 – 1.24 |
| Both teams to score | 61.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 41.3% |
| Santos Laguna score first | 54.9% |
| Necaxa score first | 40.4% |
| Santos Laguna clean sheet | 29.3% |
| Necaxa clean sheet | 13.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420578790 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Santos Laguna are favourites. They win 54.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.7% for the draw and 22.5% for Necaxa. Including the draw, Santos Laguna avoid defeat 77.5% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.2% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win is 2-1 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 61.9% of simulations. Santos Laguna keep a clean sheet 29.3% of the time and Necaxa 13.5%.
The simulations average 3.27 goals: 2.03 for Santos Laguna and 1.24 for Necaxa. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 63.2% and over 3.5 goals 41.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.