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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated São Paulo W vs Corinthians W 100,000 times. Corinthians W won 37,067 of them (37.1%), the draw came up 32.7% of the time and São Paulo W won 30.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 15.3%, while the likeliest Corinthians W win is 0-1 (9.2%). Both teams score in 50.3% of simulations.
Full time 1-1. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 32.7% and gave this exact score 15.3%.
| São Paulo W win | 30.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 32.7% |
| Corinthians W win | 37.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (15.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.12 – 1.26 |
| Both teams to score | 50.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 21.8% |
| São Paulo W score first | 36.5% |
| Corinthians W score first | 51.9% |
| São Paulo W clean sheet | 28.8% |
| Corinthians W clean sheet | 33% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420722762 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Corinthians W are favourites. They win 37.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 32.7% for the draw and 30.3% for São Paulo W. Including the draw, Corinthians W avoid defeat 69.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 15.3% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (12%) and 0-1 (9.2%). The likeliest Corinthians W win is 0-1 (9.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 50.3% of simulations. São Paulo W keep a clean sheet 28.8% of the time and Corinthians W 33%.
The simulations average 2.38 goals: 1.12 for São Paulo W and 1.26 for Corinthians W. Over 1.5 goals lands 70.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 42.4% and over 3.5 goals 21.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.