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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Sarmiento Res. vs Vélez Sársfield Res. 100,000 times. Vélez Sársfield Res. won 53,941 of them (53.9%), the draw came up 26.8% of the time and Sarmiento Res. won 19.3%. The most likely score is 0-1 (13.9%), and both teams score in 44.3% of simulations.
Full time 0-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Vélez Sársfield Res. winning 53.9% and gave this exact score 13.9%.
| Sarmiento Res. win | 19.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.8% |
| Vélez Sársfield Res. win | 53.9% |
| Most likely score | 0-1 (13.9%) |
| Expected goals | 0.82 – 1.55 |
| Both teams to score | 44.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 21.7% |
| Sarmiento Res. score first | 32.5% |
| Vélez Sársfield Res. score first | 57.4% |
| Sarmiento Res. clean sheet | 21.5% |
| Vélez Sársfield Res. clean sheet | 44.4% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420728177 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Vélez Sársfield Res. are favourites. They win 53.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.8% for the draw and 19.3% for Sarmiento Res.. Including the draw, Vélez Sársfield Res. avoid defeat 80.7% of the time.
0-1, which came up in 13.9% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (12.3%) and 0-2 (11.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 44.3% of simulations. Sarmiento Res. keep a clean sheet 21.5% of the time and Vélez Sársfield Res. 44.4%.
The simulations average 2.37 goals: 0.82 for Sarmiento Res. and 1.55 for Vélez Sársfield Res.. Over 1.5 goals lands 68.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 42.2% and over 3.5 goals 21.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.