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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg 100,000 times. SC Freiburg won 55,397 of them (55.4%), the draw came up 21.3% of the time and VfL Wolfsburg won 23.3%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9%), and both teams score in 68% of simulations.
Full time 3-2. Before kick-off the simulations had SC Freiburg winning 55.4% and gave this exact score 4.7%.
| SC Freiburg win | 55.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 21.3% |
| VfL Wolfsburg win | 23.3% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (9%) |
| Expected goals | 2.25 – 1.42 |
| Both teams to score | 68% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 49.9% |
| SC Freiburg score first | 60.9% |
| VfL Wolfsburg score first | 35.8% |
| SC Freiburg clean sheet | 24.5% |
| VfL Wolfsburg clean sheet | 10.9% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420710470 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
SC Freiburg are favourites. They win 55.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21.3% for the draw and 23.3% for VfL Wolfsburg. Including the draw, SC Freiburg avoid defeat 76.7% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 9% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (8.8%) and 3-1 (6.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 68% of simulations. SC Freiburg keep a clean sheet 24.5% of the time and VfL Wolfsburg 10.9%.
The simulations average 3.68 goals: 2.25 for SC Freiburg and 1.42 for VfL Wolfsburg. Over 1.5 goals lands 88.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 70.6% and over 3.5 goals 49.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.