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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated SC Villa vs Mbarara City 100,000 times. SC Villa won 75,331 of them (75.3%), the draw came up 18.6% of the time and Mbarara City won 6%. The most likely score is 2-0 (16%), and both teams score in 36% of simulations.
Full time 2-0. Before kick-off the simulations had SC Villa winning 75.3% and gave this exact score 16%.
| SC Villa win | 75.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 18.6% |
| Mbarara City win | 6% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (16%) |
| Expected goals | 2.21 – 0.50 |
| Both teams to score | 36% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 29.1% |
| SC Villa score first | 77.8% |
| Mbarara City score first | 14.3% |
| SC Villa clean sheet | 60.6% |
| Mbarara City clean sheet | 11.3% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420678279 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
SC Villa are favourites. They win 75.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 18.6% for the draw and 6% for Mbarara City. Including the draw, SC Villa avoid defeat 94% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 16% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (13.7%) and 3-0 (11.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 36% of simulations. SC Villa keep a clean sheet 60.6% of the time and Mbarara City 11.3%.
The simulations average 2.72 goals: 2.21 for SC Villa and 0.50 for Mbarara City. Over 1.5 goals lands 76.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 50.8% and over 3.5 goals 29.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.