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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Scotland U21 vs Azerbaijan U21 100,000 times. Scotland U21 won 80,386 of them (80.4%), the draw came up 13.5% of the time and Azerbaijan U21 won 6.1%. The most likely score is 2-0 (12%), and both teams score in 46.4% of simulations.
Full time 5-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Scotland U21 winning 80.4%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Scotland U21 win | 80.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 13.5% |
| Azerbaijan U21 win | 6.1% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (12%) |
| Expected goals | 2.81 – 0.68 |
| Both teams to score | 46.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 45.9% |
| Scotland U21 score first | 75.1% |
| Azerbaijan U21 score first | 21.1% |
| Scotland U21 clean sheet | 51% |
| Azerbaijan U21 clean sheet | 6.4% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/314882373 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Scotland U21 are favourites. They win 80.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 13.5% for the draw and 6.1% for Azerbaijan U21. Including the draw, Scotland U21 avoid defeat 93.9% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 12% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (11.1%) and 1-0 (8.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 46.4% of simulations. Scotland U21 keep a clean sheet 51% of the time and Azerbaijan U21 6.4%.
The simulations average 3.49 goals: 2.81 for Scotland U21 and 0.68 for Azerbaijan U21. Over 1.5 goals lands 86.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 67.2% and over 3.5 goals 45.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.