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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated SD Eibar vs Almería 100,000 times. SD Eibar won 38,657 of them (38.7%), the draw came up 26.8% of the time and Almería won 34.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.5%, while the likeliest SD Eibar win is 2-1 (8.5%). Both teams score in 57.4% of simulations.
| SD Eibar win | 38.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.8% |
| Almería win | 34.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.46 – 1.37 |
| Both teams to score | 57.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 31.3% |
| SD Eibar score first | 47.6% |
| Almería score first | 45.6% |
| SD Eibar clean sheet | 25.9% |
| Almería clean sheet | 23.7% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420642838 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
SD Eibar are favourites. They win 38.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.8% for the draw and 34.6% for Almería. Including the draw, SD Eibar avoid defeat 65.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.5% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.5%) and 1-2 (7.9%). The likeliest SD Eibar win is 2-1 (8.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 57.4% of simulations. SD Eibar keep a clean sheet 25.9% of the time and Almería 23.7%.
The simulations average 2.82 goals: 1.46 for SD Eibar and 1.37 for Almería. Over 1.5 goals lands 77.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 53.4% and over 3.5 goals 31.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.