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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Serbia U21 vs Russia U21 100,000 times. Russia U21 won 45,838 of them (45.8%), the draw came up 24.2% of the time and Serbia U21 won 29.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.2%, while the likeliest Russia U21 win is 1-2 (9.1%). Both teams score in 59.1% of simulations.
Full time 2-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Serbia U21 winning 29.9% and gave this exact score 7.1%.
| Serbia U21 win | 29.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.2% |
| Russia U21 win | 45.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.31 – 1.68 |
| Both teams to score | 59.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.2% |
| Serbia U21 score first | 36.5% |
| Russia U21 score first | 58.1% |
| Serbia U21 clean sheet | 19% |
| Russia U21 clean sheet | 27.3% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420722329 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Russia U21 are favourites. They win 45.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.2% for the draw and 29.9% for Serbia U21. Including the draw, Russia U21 avoid defeat 70.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.2% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-1 (8.3%). The likeliest Russia U21 win is 1-2 (9.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 59.1% of simulations. Serbia U21 keep a clean sheet 19% of the time and Russia U21 27.3%.
The simulations average 3.00 goals: 1.31 for Serbia U21 and 1.68 for Russia U21. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 57.3% and over 3.5 goals 35.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.