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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Sevilla II vs Alcorcón 100,000 times. Alcorcón won 41,714 of them (41.7%), the draw came up 27.5% of the time and Sevilla II won 30.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.9%, while the likeliest Alcorcón win is 0-1 (11%). Both teams score in 50% of simulations.
Full time 1-1. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 27.5% and gave this exact score 12.9%.
| Sevilla II win | 30.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.5% |
| Alcorcón win | 41.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.12 – 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | 50% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 23.9% |
| Sevilla II score first | 38.4% |
| Alcorcón score first | 52.8% |
| Sevilla II clean sheet | 26.1% |
| Alcorcón clean sheet | 32.8% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420526272 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Alcorcón are favourites. They win 41.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.5% for the draw and 30.8% for Sevilla II. Including the draw, Alcorcón avoid defeat 69.2% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.9% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (11%) and 1-0 (9.1%). The likeliest Alcorcón win is 0-1 (11%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 50% of simulations. Sevilla II keep a clean sheet 26.1% of the time and Alcorcón 32.8%.
The simulations average 2.48 goals: 1.12 for Sevilla II and 1.36 for Alcorcón. Over 1.5 goals lands 70.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 45% and over 3.5 goals 23.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.