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Chinese Super League · 100,000 simulations

Shanghai Port vs Chengdu Rongcheng prediction

We simulated Shanghai Port vs Chengdu Rongcheng 100,000 times. Shanghai Port won 51,844 of them (51.8%), the draw came up 23.3% of the time and Chengdu Rongcheng won 24.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.5%, while the likeliest Shanghai Port win is 2-1 (9.4%). Both teams score in 62.3% of simulations.

Shanghai Port badge
Shanghai Port Shanghai Stadium
3–0 Full time
Chengdu Rongcheng badge
Chengdu Rongcheng Away
51.8% 51,844 wins
23.3% Draw
24.9% 24,860 wins
Expected goals
1.95 – 1.29
Likeliest score
1-1 10.5% Top Shanghai Port win: 2-1 9.4%
Both score
62.3%
Over 2.5
62.5%

Full time 3-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Shanghai Port winning 51.8% and gave this exact score 4.8%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Jing Wang Shanghai Stadium, Shanghai
Shanghai Port vs Chengdu Rongcheng live score, stats & lineups

Shanghai Port vs Chengdu Rongcheng in numbers 100,000 simulations · Chinese Super League · Sunday 18 October, 13:00

Shanghai Port vs Chengdu Rongcheng simulation probabilities
Shanghai Port win51.8%
Draw23.3%
Chengdu Rongcheng win24.9%
Most likely score1-1 (10.5%)
Expected goals1.95 – 1.29
Both teams to score62.3%
Over 1.5 goals83.7%
Over 2.5 goals62.5%
Over 3.5 goals40.6%
Shanghai Port score first55.4%
Chengdu Rongcheng score first39.7%
Shanghai Port clean sheet27.8%
Chengdu Rongcheng clean sheet14.7%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420519277
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Shanghai Port vs Chengdu Rongcheng prediction FAQs

Who will win Shanghai Port vs Chengdu Rongcheng?

Shanghai Port are favourites. They win 51.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.3% for the draw and 24.9% for Chengdu Rongcheng. Including the draw, Shanghai Port avoid defeat 75.1% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Shanghai Port vs Chengdu Rongcheng?

1-1, which came up in 10.5% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Shanghai Port win is 2-1 (9.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Shanghai Port vs Chengdu Rongcheng?

Both teams score in 62.3% of simulations. Shanghai Port keep a clean sheet 27.8% of the time and Chengdu Rongcheng 14.7%.

How many goals will there be in Shanghai Port vs Chengdu Rongcheng?

The simulations average 3.24 goals: 1.95 for Shanghai Port and 1.29 for Chengdu Rongcheng. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62.5% and over 3.5 goals 40.6%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.