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We simulated Shanghai Port vs Chengdu Rongcheng 100,000 times. Shanghai Port won 51,844 of them (51.8%), the draw came up 23.3% of the time and Chengdu Rongcheng won 24.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.5%, while the likeliest Shanghai Port win is 2-1 (9.4%). Both teams score in 62.3% of simulations.
Full time 3-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Shanghai Port winning 51.8% and gave this exact score 4.8%.
| Shanghai Port win | 51.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.3% |
| Chengdu Rongcheng win | 24.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.95 – 1.29 |
| Both teams to score | 62.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 40.6% |
| Shanghai Port score first | 55.4% |
| Chengdu Rongcheng score first | 39.7% |
| Shanghai Port clean sheet | 27.8% |
| Chengdu Rongcheng clean sheet | 14.7% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420519277 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Shanghai Port are favourites. They win 51.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.3% for the draw and 24.9% for Chengdu Rongcheng. Including the draw, Shanghai Port avoid defeat 75.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.5% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Shanghai Port win is 2-1 (9.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 62.3% of simulations. Shanghai Port keep a clean sheet 27.8% of the time and Chengdu Rongcheng 14.7%.
The simulations average 3.24 goals: 1.95 for Shanghai Port and 1.29 for Chengdu Rongcheng. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62.5% and over 3.5 goals 40.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.