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Ireland Premier Division · 100,000 simulations

Shelbourne vs Waterford United prediction

We simulated Shelbourne vs Waterford United 100,000 times. Shelbourne won 49,599 of them (49.6%), the draw came up 22.9% of the time and Waterford United won 27.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9.9%, while the likeliest Shelbourne win is 2-1 (9.1%). Both teams score in 65.8% of simulations.

Shelbourne badge
Shelbourne Tolka Park
2–3 Full time
Waterford United badge
Waterford United Away
49.6% 49,599 wins
22.9% Draw
27.5% 27,465 wins
Expected goals
1.98 – 1.44
Likeliest score
1-1 9.9% Top Shelbourne win: 2-1 9.1%
Both score
65.8%
Over 2.5
66.1%

Full time 2-3. Before kick-off the simulations had Waterford United winning 27.5% and gave this exact score 3.1%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Aaron O'Dowd Tolka Park, Dublin
Shelbourne vs Waterford United live score, stats & lineups

Shelbourne vs Waterford United in numbers 100,000 simulations · Ireland Premier Division · Friday 30 October, 19:45

Shelbourne vs Waterford United simulation probabilities
Shelbourne win49.6%
Draw22.9%
Waterford United win27.5%
Most likely score1-1 (9.9%)
Expected goals1.98 – 1.44
Both teams to score65.8%
Over 1.5 goals85.8%
Over 2.5 goals66.1%
Over 3.5 goals44.5%
Shelbourne score first56.2%
Waterford United score first39.8%
Shelbourne clean sheet24.2%
Waterford United clean sheet14.2%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420498410
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Shelbourne vs Waterford United prediction FAQs

Who will win Shelbourne vs Waterford United?

Shelbourne are favourites. They win 49.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.9% for the draw and 27.5% for Waterford United. Including the draw, Shelbourne avoid defeat 72.5% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Shelbourne vs Waterford United?

1-1, which came up in 9.9% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.1%) and 1-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Shelbourne win is 2-1 (9.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Shelbourne vs Waterford United?

Both teams score in 65.8% of simulations. Shelbourne keep a clean sheet 24.2% of the time and Waterford United 14.2%.

How many goals will there be in Shelbourne vs Waterford United?

The simulations average 3.42 goals: 1.98 for Shelbourne and 1.44 for Waterford United. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 66.1% and over 3.5 goals 44.5%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.