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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Lech Poznań 100,000 times. Lech Poznań won 84,966 of them (85%), the draw came up 10.1% of the time and Siarka Tarnobrzeg won 4.9%. The most likely score is 0-2 (12.9%), and both teams score in 40.2% of simulations.
Full time 1-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Siarka Tarnobrzeg winning 4.9% and gave this exact score 2%.
| Siarka Tarnobrzeg win | 4.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 10.1% |
| Lech Poznań win | 85% |
| Most likely score | 0-2 (12.9%) |
| Expected goals | 0.56 – 2.95 |
| Both teams to score | 40.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 46.4% |
| Siarka Tarnobrzeg score first | 17.8% |
| Lech Poznań score first | 79.2% |
| Siarka Tarnobrzeg clean sheet | 5.6% |
| Lech Poznań clean sheet | 57.2% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420720946 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Lech Poznań are favourites. They win 85% of our 100,000 simulations, against 10.1% for the draw and 4.9% for Siarka Tarnobrzeg. Including the draw, Lech Poznań avoid defeat 95.1% of the time.
0-2, which came up in 12.9% of simulations. Next are 0-3 (12.5%) and 0-1 (9.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 40.2% of simulations. Siarka Tarnobrzeg keep a clean sheet 5.6% of the time and Lech Poznań 57.2%.
The simulations average 3.51 goals: 0.56 for Siarka Tarnobrzeg and 2.95 for Lech Poznań. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 67.6% and over 3.5 goals 46.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.