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We simulated Simba vs Mogadishu City 100,000 times. Simba won 79,753 of them (79.8%), the draw came up 15.5% of the time and Mogadishu City won 4.7%. The most likely score is 2-0 (17%), and both teams score in 31.3% of simulations.
Full time 0-0. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 15.5% and gave this exact score 7.1%.
| Simba win | 79.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 15.5% |
| Mogadishu City win | 4.7% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (17%) |
| Expected goals | 2.35 – 0.42 |
| Both teams to score | 31.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 30.2% |
| Simba score first | 78.8% |
| Mogadishu City score first | 14% |
| Simba clean sheet | 65.8% |
| Mogadishu City clean sheet | 10.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420575789 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Simba are favourites. They win 79.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 15.5% for the draw and 4.7% for Mogadishu City. Including the draw, Simba avoid defeat 95.3% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 17% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (14.4%) and 3-0 (13.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 31.3% of simulations. Simba keep a clean sheet 65.8% of the time and Mogadishu City 10.1%.
The simulations average 2.77 goals: 2.35 for Simba and 0.42 for Mogadishu City. Over 1.5 goals lands 76.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 51.9% and over 3.5 goals 30.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.