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CECAFA Club Cup · 100,000 simulations

Simba vs Mogadishu City prediction

We simulated Simba vs Mogadishu City 100,000 times. Simba won 79,753 of them (79.8%), the draw came up 15.5% of the time and Mogadishu City won 4.7%. The most likely score is 2-0 (17%), and both teams score in 31.3% of simulations.

Simba badge
Simba Kigali Pelé Stadium
0–0 Full time
Mogadishu City badge
Mogadishu City Away
79.8% 79,753 wins
15.5% Draw
4.7% 4,719 wins
Expected goals
2.35 – 0.42
Likeliest score
2-0 17%
Both score
31.3%
Over 2.5
51.9%

Full time 0-0. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 15.5% and gave this exact score 7.1%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Kigali Pelé Stadium
Simba vs Mogadishu City live score, stats & lineups

Simba vs Mogadishu City in numbers 100,000 simulations · CECAFA Club Cup · Saturday 25 July, 17:00

Simba vs Mogadishu City simulation probabilities
Simba win79.8%
Draw15.5%
Mogadishu City win4.7%
Most likely score2-0 (17%)
Expected goals2.35 – 0.42
Both teams to score31.3%
Over 1.5 goals76.3%
Over 2.5 goals51.9%
Over 3.5 goals30.2%
Simba score first78.8%
Mogadishu City score first14%
Simba clean sheet65.8%
Mogadishu City clean sheet10.1%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420575789
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Simba vs Mogadishu City prediction FAQs

Who will win Simba vs Mogadishu City?

Simba are favourites. They win 79.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 15.5% for the draw and 4.7% for Mogadishu City. Including the draw, Simba avoid defeat 95.3% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Simba vs Mogadishu City?

2-0, which came up in 17% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (14.4%) and 3-0 (13.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Simba vs Mogadishu City?

Both teams score in 31.3% of simulations. Simba keep a clean sheet 65.8% of the time and Mogadishu City 10.1%.

How many goals will there be in Simba vs Mogadishu City?

The simulations average 2.77 goals: 2.35 for Simba and 0.42 for Mogadishu City. Over 1.5 goals lands 76.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 51.9% and over 3.5 goals 30.2%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.