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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Sirius vs Elfsborg 100,000 times. Sirius won 43,803 of them (43.8%), the draw came up 27% of the time and Elfsborg won 29.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.7%, while the likeliest Sirius win is 2-1 (9%). Both teams score in 57.4% of simulations.
Full time 2-2. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 27% and gave this exact score 5.6%.
| Sirius win | 43.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27% |
| Elfsborg win | 29.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.58 – 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | 57.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 31.6% |
| Sirius score first | 54.9% |
| Elfsborg score first | 38% |
| Sirius clean sheet | 28.9% |
| Elfsborg clean sheet | 21% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420543523 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Sirius are favourites. They win 43.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27% for the draw and 29.3% for Elfsborg. Including the draw, Sirius avoid defeat 70.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.7% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9%) and 1-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Sirius win is 2-1 (9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 57.4% of simulations. Sirius keep a clean sheet 28.9% of the time and Elfsborg 21%.
The simulations average 2.83 goals: 1.58 for Sirius and 1.25 for Elfsborg. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 53.7% and over 3.5 goals 31.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.