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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated SK Beveren vs Union Saint-Gilloise 100,000 times. Union Saint-Gilloise won 60,086 of them (60.1%), the draw came up 21.3% of the time and SK Beveren won 18.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9.8%, while the likeliest Union Saint-Gilloise win is 1-2 (9.7%). Both teams score in 56.8% of simulations.
| SK Beveren win | 18.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 21.3% |
| Union Saint-Gilloise win | 60.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (9.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.06 – 2.07 |
| Both teams to score | 56.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 38.1% |
| SK Beveren score first | 34.5% |
| Union Saint-Gilloise score first | 60.5% |
| SK Beveren clean sheet | 13.1% |
| Union Saint-Gilloise clean sheet | 35.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420611072 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Union Saint-Gilloise are favourites. They win 60.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21.3% for the draw and 18.6% for SK Beveren. Including the draw, Union Saint-Gilloise avoid defeat 81.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 9.8% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (9.3%). The likeliest Union Saint-Gilloise win is 1-2 (9.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 56.8% of simulations. SK Beveren keep a clean sheet 13.1% of the time and Union Saint-Gilloise 35.1%.
The simulations average 3.13 goals: 1.06 for SK Beveren and 2.07 for Union Saint-Gilloise. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 60.1% and over 3.5 goals 38.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.