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UEFA Women's Champions League · 100,000 simulations

SL Benfica W vs FC Bayern München W prediction

We simulated SL Benfica W vs FC Bayern München W 100,000 times. FC Bayern München W won 77,669 of them (77.7%), the draw came up 13.5% of the time and SL Benfica W won 8.8%. The most likely score is 0-2 (11.4%), and both teams score in 49.1% of simulations.

SL Benfica W badge
SL Benfica W Estádio Da Tapadinha
0–3 Full time
FC Bayern München W badge
FC Bayern München W Away
8.8% 8,834 wins
13.5% Draw
77.7% 77,669 wins
Expected goals
0.77 – 2.68
Likeliest score
0-2 11.4%
Both score
49.1%
Over 2.5
66.4%

Full time 0-3. Before kick-off the simulations had FC Bayern München W winning 77.7% and gave this exact score 10%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Maria Sole Ferrieri Caputi Estádio Da Tapadinha, Lisboa
SL Benfica W vs FC Bayern München W live score, stats & lineups

SL Benfica W vs FC Bayern München W in numbers 100,000 simulations · UEFA Women's Champions League · Wednesday 30 September, 20:00

SL Benfica W vs FC Bayern München W simulation probabilities
SL Benfica W win8.8%
Draw13.5%
FC Bayern München W win77.7%
Most likely score0-2 (11.4%)
Expected goals0.77 – 2.68
Both teams to score49.1%
Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals66.4%
Over 3.5 goals44.9%
SL Benfica W score first22.7%
FC Bayern München W score first74.3%
SL Benfica W clean sheet7.3%
FC Bayern München W clean sheet46.7%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420709948
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

SL Benfica W vs FC Bayern München W prediction FAQs

Who will win SL Benfica W vs FC Bayern München W?

FC Bayern München W are favourites. They win 77.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 13.5% for the draw and 8.8% for SL Benfica W. Including the draw, FC Bayern München W avoid defeat 91.2% of the time.

What is the most likely score in SL Benfica W vs FC Bayern München W?

0-2, which came up in 11.4% of simulations. Next are 0-3 (10%) and 0-1 (9.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in SL Benfica W vs FC Bayern München W?

Both teams score in 49.1% of simulations. SL Benfica W keep a clean sheet 7.3% of the time and FC Bayern München W 46.7%.

How many goals will there be in SL Benfica W vs FC Bayern München W?

The simulations average 3.44 goals: 0.77 for SL Benfica W and 2.68 for FC Bayern München W. Over 1.5 goals lands 85% of the time, over 2.5 goals 66.4% and over 3.5 goals 44.9%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.