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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Slovenia U21 vs Israel U21 100,000 times. Slovenia U21 won 44,567 of them (44.6%), the draw came up 28.4% of the time and Israel U21 won 27.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.2%, while the likeliest Slovenia U21 win is 1-0 (12.1%). Both teams score in 47.7% of simulations.
Full time 2-3. Before kick-off the simulations had Israel U21 winning 27.1% and gave this exact score 1.5%.
| Slovenia U21 win | 44.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28.4% |
| Israel U21 win | 27.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.37 – 1.01 |
| Both teams to score | 47.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 21.8% |
| Slovenia U21 score first | 53.9% |
| Israel U21 score first | 36.1% |
| Slovenia U21 clean sheet | 36.7% |
| Israel U21 clean sheet | 25.6% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/314882489 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Slovenia U21 are favourites. They win 44.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.4% for the draw and 27.1% for Israel U21. Including the draw, Slovenia U21 avoid defeat 72.9% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.2% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (12.1%) and 0-0 (10%). The likeliest Slovenia U21 win is 1-0 (12.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 47.7% of simulations. Slovenia U21 keep a clean sheet 36.7% of the time and Israel U21 25.6%.
The simulations average 2.38 goals: 1.37 for Slovenia U21 and 1.01 for Israel U21. Over 1.5 goals lands 69.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 42.5% and over 3.5 goals 21.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.