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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Smedby vs Sleipner 100,000 times. Sleipner won 59,012 of them (59%), the draw came up 20.8% of the time and Smedby won 20.2%. The most likely score is 1-2 (9.5%), and both teams score in 62.3% of simulations.
Full time 1-5. Before kick-off the simulations had Sleipner winning 59%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Smedby win | 20.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.8% |
| Sleipner win | 59% |
| Most likely score | 1-2 (9.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.21 – 2.19 |
| Both teams to score | 62.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 44.2% |
| Smedby score first | 36.5% |
| Sleipner score first | 59.8% |
| Smedby clean sheet | 11.6% |
| Sleipner clean sheet | 30% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420537363 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Sleipner are favourites. They win 59% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.8% for the draw and 20.2% for Smedby. Including the draw, Sleipner avoid defeat 79.8% of the time.
1-2, which came up in 9.5% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 62.3% of simulations. Smedby keep a clean sheet 11.6% of the time and Sleipner 30%.
The simulations average 3.41 goals: 1.21 for Smedby and 2.19 for Sleipner. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 65.8% and over 3.5 goals 44.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.