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Pershaya Liga · 100,000 simulations

Smorgon vs Bumprom prediction

We simulated Smorgon vs Bumprom 100,000 times. Smorgon won 39,276 of them (39.3%), the draw came up 23.8% of the time and Bumprom won 37%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.8%, while the likeliest Smorgon win is 2-1 (8.3%). Both teams score in 59.6% of simulations.

Smorgon badge
Smorgon Stadyen Junatstva
1–0 Full time
Bumprom badge
Bumprom Away
39.3% 39,276 wins
23.8% Draw
37% 36,969 wins
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.48
Likeliest score
1-1 10.8% Top Smorgon win: 2-1 8.3%
Both score
59.6%
Over 2.5
57.6%

Full time 1-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Smorgon winning 39.3% and gave this exact score 7.8%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Vitali Poltarzhitskiy Stadyen Junatstva
Smorgon vs Bumprom live score, stats & lineups

Smorgon vs Bumprom in numbers 100,000 simulations · Pershaya Liga · Saturday 17 October, 12:00

Smorgon vs Bumprom simulation probabilities
Smorgon win39.3%
Draw23.8%
Bumprom win37%
Most likely score1-1 (10.8%)
Expected goals1.53 – 1.48
Both teams to score59.6%
Over 1.5 goals79.6%
Over 2.5 goals57.6%
Over 3.5 goals35.5%
Smorgon score first50.5%
Bumprom score first44.6%
Smorgon clean sheet23.3%
Bumprom clean sheet22.1%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420541563
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Smorgon vs Bumprom prediction FAQs

Who will win Smorgon vs Bumprom?

Smorgon are favourites. They win 39.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.8% for the draw and 37% for Bumprom. Including the draw, Smorgon avoid defeat 63% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Smorgon vs Bumprom?

1-1, which came up in 10.8% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.3%) and 1-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Smorgon win is 2-1 (8.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Smorgon vs Bumprom?

Both teams score in 59.6% of simulations. Smorgon keep a clean sheet 23.3% of the time and Bumprom 22.1%.

How many goals will there be in Smorgon vs Bumprom?

The simulations average 3.01 goals: 1.53 for Smorgon and 1.48 for Bumprom. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 57.6% and over 3.5 goals 35.5%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here 1xBet), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.