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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Sogndal vs Kongsvinger 100,000 times. Kongsvinger won 56,648 of them (56.7%), the draw came up 20.1% of the time and Sogndal won 23.3%. The most likely score is 1-2 (8%), and both teams score in 74.3% of simulations.
Full time 3-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Sogndal winning 23.3% and gave this exact score 2.8%.
| Sogndal win | 23.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.1% |
| Kongsvinger win | 56.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-2 (8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.63 – 2.55 |
| Both teams to score | 74.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 92.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 78.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 59.8% |
| Sogndal score first | 33.8% |
| Kongsvinger score first | 63.5% |
| Sogndal clean sheet | 8.2% |
| Kongsvinger clean sheet | 20% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420545437 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Kongsvinger are favourites. They win 56.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.1% for the draw and 23.3% for Sogndal. Including the draw, Kongsvinger avoid defeat 76.7% of the time.
1-2, which came up in 8% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (7.2%) and 1-3 (6.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 74.3% of simulations. Sogndal keep a clean sheet 8.2% of the time and Kongsvinger 20%.
The simulations average 4.18 goals: 1.63 for Sogndal and 2.55 for Kongsvinger. Over 1.5 goals lands 92.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 78.3% and over 3.5 goals 59.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.