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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Solomon Islands vs Vanuatu 100,000 times. Solomon Islands won 43,253 of them (43.3%), the draw came up 25.1% of the time and Vanuatu won 31.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.4%, while the likeliest Solomon Islands win is 2-1 (8.9%). Both teams score in 61.3% of simulations.
Full time 3-3. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 25.1%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Solomon Islands win | 43.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.1% |
| Vanuatu win | 31.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.4%) |
| Expected goals | 1.67 – 1.40 |
| Both teams to score | 61.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 36.9% |
| Solomon Islands score first | 53.2% |
| Vanuatu score first | 41.5% |
| Solomon Islands clean sheet | 25% |
| Vanuatu clean sheet | 19.2% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420720843 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Solomon Islands are favourites. They win 43.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.1% for the draw and 31.7% for Vanuatu. Including the draw, Solomon Islands avoid defeat 68.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.4% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.9%) and 1-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Solomon Islands win is 2-1 (8.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 61.3% of simulations. Solomon Islands keep a clean sheet 25% of the time and Vanuatu 19.2%.
The simulations average 3.07 goals: 1.67 for Solomon Islands and 1.40 for Vanuatu. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 59% and over 3.5 goals 36.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.