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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Spain U19 vs Croatia U19 100,000 times. Spain U19 won 84,435 of them (84.4%), the draw came up 10.4% of the time and Croatia U19 won 5.2%. The most likely score is 2-0 (12.7%), and both teams score in 41.3% of simulations.
Full time 3-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Spain U19 winning 84.4% and gave this exact score 12.2%.
| Spain U19 win | 84.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 10.4% |
| Croatia U19 win | 5.2% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (12.7%) |
| Expected goals | 2.94 – 0.58 |
| Both teams to score | 41.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 46.6% |
| Spain U19 score first | 80.3% |
| Croatia U19 score first | 16.8% |
| Spain U19 clean sheet | 55.9% |
| Croatia U19 clean sheet | 5.6% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420573008 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Spain U19 are favourites. They win 84.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 10.4% for the draw and 5.2% for Croatia U19. Including the draw, Spain U19 avoid defeat 94.8% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 12.7% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (12.2%) and 1-0 (9.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 41.3% of simulations. Spain U19 keep a clean sheet 55.9% of the time and Croatia U19 5.6%.
The simulations average 3.52 goals: 2.94 for Spain U19 and 0.58 for Croatia U19. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 67.8% and over 3.5 goals 46.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.