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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Spain vs Cape Verde Islands 100,000 times. Spain won 88,950 of them (89%), the draw came up 7.8% of the time and Cape Verde Islands won 3.3%. The most likely score is 3-0 (13.2%), and both teams score in 37.5% of simulations.
Full time 0-0. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 7.8% and gave this exact score 2.3%.
| Spain win | 89% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 7.8% |
| Cape Verde Islands win | 3.3% |
| Most likely score | 3-0 (13.2%) |
| Expected goals | 3.27 – 0.50 |
| Both teams to score | 37.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 51.8% |
| Spain score first | 85.3% |
| Cape Verde Islands score first | 12.5% |
| Spain clean sheet | 60.7% |
| Cape Verde Islands clean sheet | 4.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420562619 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Spain are favourites. They win 89% of our 100,000 simulations, against 7.8% for the draw and 3.3% for Cape Verde Islands. Including the draw, Spain avoid defeat 96.7% of the time.
3-0, which came up in 13.2% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (12.3%) and 4-0 (10.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 37.5% of simulations. Spain keep a clean sheet 60.7% of the time and Cape Verde Islands 4.1%.
The simulations average 3.77 goals: 3.27 for Spain and 0.50 for Cape Verde Islands. Over 1.5 goals lands 88.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 72.1% and over 3.5 goals 51.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.