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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Spalding United vs Bury Town 100,000 times. Spalding United won 45,911 of them (45.9%), the draw came up 23.3% of the time and Bury Town won 30.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.8%, while the likeliest Spalding United win is 1-0 (9.2%). Both teams score in 57.6% of simulations.
Full time 4-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Spalding United winning 45.9%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Spalding United win | 45.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.3% |
| Bury Town win | 30.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.64 – 1.29 |
| Both teams to score | 57.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 33.9% |
| Spalding United score first | 53.1% |
| Bury Town score first | 41.9% |
| Spalding United clean sheet | 27.7% |
| Bury Town clean sheet | 19.8% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420729885 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Spalding United are favourites. They win 45.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.3% for the draw and 30.8% for Bury Town. Including the draw, Spalding United avoid defeat 69.2% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.8% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest Spalding United win is 1-0 (9.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 57.6% of simulations. Spalding United keep a clean sheet 27.7% of the time and Bury Town 19.8%.
The simulations average 2.94 goals: 1.64 for Spalding United and 1.29 for Bury Town. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 56% and over 3.5 goals 33.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.