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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Sparta Nijkerk vs UDI '19 100,000 times. Sparta Nijkerk won 44,010 of them (44%), the draw came up 22.2% of the time and UDI '19 won 33.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 8.7%, while the likeliest Sparta Nijkerk win is 2-1 (8.1%). Both teams score in 71.3% of simulations.
Full time 3-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Sparta Nijkerk winning 44% and gave this exact score 5.4%.
| Sparta Nijkerk win | 44% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.2% |
| UDI '19 win | 33.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (8.7%) |
| Expected goals | 2.01 – 1.75 |
| Both teams to score | 71.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 51.5% |
| Sparta Nijkerk score first | 58.5% |
| UDI '19 score first | 38.5% |
| Sparta Nijkerk clean sheet | 17.9% |
| UDI '19 clean sheet | 13.9% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420710427 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Sparta Nijkerk are favourites. They win 44% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.2% for the draw and 33.8% for UDI '19. Including the draw, Sparta Nijkerk avoid defeat 66.2% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 8.7% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.1%) and 1-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Sparta Nijkerk win is 2-1 (8.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 71.3% of simulations. Sparta Nijkerk keep a clean sheet 17.9% of the time and UDI '19 13.9%.
The simulations average 3.76 goals: 2.01 for Sparta Nijkerk and 1.75 for UDI '19. Over 1.5 goals lands 89.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 72% and over 3.5 goals 51.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.