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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Sporting CP vs Nottingham Forest 100,000 times. Sporting CP won 54,940 of them (54.9%), the draw came up 22.2% of the time and Nottingham Forest won 22.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9.9%, while the likeliest Sporting CP win is 2-1 (9.5%). Both teams score in 62.1% of simulations.
Full time 4-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Sporting CP winning 54.9% and gave this exact score 3.3%.
| Sporting CP win | 54.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.2% |
| Nottingham Forest win | 22.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (9.9%) |
| Expected goals | 2.04 – 1.26 |
| Both teams to score | 62.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 41.8% |
| Sporting CP score first | 53.2% |
| Nottingham Forest score first | 42.5% |
| Sporting CP clean sheet | 28.8% |
| Nottingham Forest clean sheet | 13.4% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420571981 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Sporting CP are favourites. They win 54.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.2% for the draw and 22.9% for Nottingham Forest. Including the draw, Sporting CP avoid defeat 77.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 9.9% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Sporting CP win is 2-1 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 62.1% of simulations. Sporting CP keep a clean sheet 28.8% of the time and Nottingham Forest 13.4%.
The simulations average 3.30 goals: 2.04 for Sporting CP and 1.26 for Nottingham Forest. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 63.7% and over 3.5 goals 41.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.