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Primera Division · 100,000 simulations

Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca prediction

We simulated Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca 100,000 times. Sporting Cristal won 81,145 of them (81.2%), the draw came up 11.7% of the time and FC Cajamarca won 7.1%. The most likely score is 2-0 (10.1%), and both teams score in 51.5% of simulations.

Sporting Cristal badge
Sporting Cristal Estadio Alberto Gallardo
5–0 Full time
FC Cajamarca badge
FC Cajamarca Away
81.2% 81,145 wins
11.7% Draw
7.1% 7,123 wins
Expected goals
3.01 – 0.79
Likeliest score
2-0 10.1%
Both score
51.5%
Over 2.5
72.5%

Full time 5-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Sporting Cristal winning 81.2% and gave this exact score 4.6%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Michael Espinoza Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima
Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca live score, stats & lineups

Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca in numbers 100,000 simulations · Primera Division · Today, 20:30

Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca simulation probabilities
Sporting Cristal win81.2%
Draw11.7%
FC Cajamarca win7.1%
Most likely score2-0 (10.1%)
Expected goals3.01 – 0.79
Both teams to score51.5%
Over 1.5 goals88.7%
Over 2.5 goals72.5%
Over 3.5 goals52.3%
Sporting Cristal score first78.3%
FC Cajamarca score first19.3%
Sporting Cristal clean sheet45.5%
FC Cajamarca clean sheet5.3%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420580107
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca prediction FAQs

Who will win Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca?

Sporting Cristal are favourites. They win 81.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 11.7% for the draw and 7.1% for FC Cajamarca. Including the draw, Sporting Cristal avoid defeat 92.9% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca?

2-0, which came up in 10.1% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (10%) and 2-1 (7.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca?

Both teams score in 51.5% of simulations. Sporting Cristal keep a clean sheet 45.5% of the time and FC Cajamarca 5.3%.

How many goals will there be in Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca?

The simulations average 3.80 goals: 3.01 for Sporting Cristal and 0.79 for FC Cajamarca. Over 1.5 goals lands 88.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 72.5% and over 3.5 goals 52.3%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.