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We simulated Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca 100,000 times. Sporting Cristal won 81,145 of them (81.2%), the draw came up 11.7% of the time and FC Cajamarca won 7.1%. The most likely score is 2-0 (10.1%), and both teams score in 51.5% of simulations.
Full time 5-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Sporting Cristal winning 81.2% and gave this exact score 4.6%.
| Sporting Cristal win | 81.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 11.7% |
| FC Cajamarca win | 7.1% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (10.1%) |
| Expected goals | 3.01 – 0.79 |
| Both teams to score | 51.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 52.3% |
| Sporting Cristal score first | 78.3% |
| FC Cajamarca score first | 19.3% |
| Sporting Cristal clean sheet | 45.5% |
| FC Cajamarca clean sheet | 5.3% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420580107 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Sporting Cristal are favourites. They win 81.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 11.7% for the draw and 7.1% for FC Cajamarca. Including the draw, Sporting Cristal avoid defeat 92.9% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 10.1% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (10%) and 2-1 (7.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 51.5% of simulations. Sporting Cristal keep a clean sheet 45.5% of the time and FC Cajamarca 5.3%.
The simulations average 3.80 goals: 3.01 for Sporting Cristal and 0.79 for FC Cajamarca. Over 1.5 goals lands 88.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 72.5% and over 3.5 goals 52.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.