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Primera División Amateur · 100,000 simulations

Sportivo Bella Italia vs Deportivo Colonia prediction

We simulated Sportivo Bella Italia vs Deportivo Colonia 100,000 times. Sportivo Bella Italia won 38,884 of them (38.9%), the draw came up 29.6% of the time and Deportivo Colonia won 31.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.9%, while the likeliest Sportivo Bella Italia win is 1-0 (10.6%). Both teams score in 49.1% of simulations.

Sportivo Bella Italia badge
Sportivo Bella Italia Home
2–1 Full time
Deportivo Colonia badge
Deportivo Colonia Away
38.9% 38,884 wins
29.6% Draw
31.5% 31,480 wins
Expected goals
1.27 – 1.12
Likeliest score
1-1 13.9% Top SBI win: 1-0 10.6%
Both score
49.1%
Over 2.5
42.7%

Full time 2-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Sportivo Bella Italia winning 38.9% and gave this exact score 8.1%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated
Sportivo Bella Italia vs Deportivo Colonia live score, stats & lineups

Sportivo Bella Italia vs Deportivo Colonia in numbers 100,000 simulations · Primera División Amateur · Wednesday 21 October, 00:30

Sportivo Bella Italia vs Deportivo Colonia simulation probabilities
Sportivo Bella Italia win38.9%
Draw29.6%
Deportivo Colonia win31.5%
Most likely score1-1 (13.9%)
Expected goals1.27 – 1.12
Both teams to score49.1%
Over 1.5 goals69.7%
Over 2.5 goals42.7%
Over 3.5 goals22.1%
Sportivo Bella Italia score first44.2%
Deportivo Colonia score first45.6%
Sportivo Bella Italia clean sheet33%
Deportivo Colonia clean sheet28.4%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420736399
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Sportivo Bella Italia vs Deportivo Colonia prediction FAQs

Who will win Sportivo Bella Italia vs Deportivo Colonia?

Sportivo Bella Italia are favourites. They win 38.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 29.6% for the draw and 31.5% for Deportivo Colonia. Including the draw, Sportivo Bella Italia avoid defeat 68.5% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Sportivo Bella Italia vs Deportivo Colonia?

1-1, which came up in 13.9% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.6%) and 0-0 (10.4%). The likeliest Sportivo Bella Italia win is 1-0 (10.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Sportivo Bella Italia vs Deportivo Colonia?

Both teams score in 49.1% of simulations. Sportivo Bella Italia keep a clean sheet 33% of the time and Deportivo Colonia 28.4%.

How many goals will there be in Sportivo Bella Italia vs Deportivo Colonia?

The simulations average 2.39 goals: 1.27 for Sportivo Bella Italia and 1.12 for Deportivo Colonia. Over 1.5 goals lands 69.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 42.7% and over 3.5 goals 22.1%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.