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Primera B Metropolitana · 100,000 simulations

Sportivo Italiano vs Arsenal de Sarandí prediction

We simulated Sportivo Italiano vs Arsenal de Sarandí 100,000 times. Sportivo Italiano won 36,801 of them (36.8%), the draw came up 32.9% of the time and Arsenal de Sarandí won 30.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 14.8%, while the likeliest Sportivo Italiano win is 1-0 (12.1%). Both teams score in 43.3% of simulations.

Sportivo Italiano badge
Sportivo Italiano Estadio República de Italia
0–0 Full time
Arsenal de Sarandí badge
Arsenal de Sarandí Away
36.8% 36,801 wins
32.9% Draw
30.3% 30,292 wins
Expected goals
1.11 – 0.99
Likeliest score
1-1 14.8% Top Sportivo win: 1-0 12.1%
Both score
43.3%
Over 2.5
35.1%

Full time 0-0. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 32.9% and gave this exact score 14%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Sebastián Bresba Estadio República de Italia, La Matanza
Sportivo Italiano vs Arsenal de Sarandí live score, stats & lineups

Sportivo Italiano vs Arsenal de Sarandí in numbers 100,000 simulations · Primera B Metropolitana · Saturday 17 October, 19:00

Sportivo Italiano vs Arsenal de Sarandí simulation probabilities
Sportivo Italiano win36.8%
Draw32.9%
Arsenal de Sarandí win30.3%
Most likely score1-1 (14.8%)
Expected goals1.11 – 0.99
Both teams to score43.3%
Over 1.5 goals63.4%
Over 2.5 goals35.1%
Over 3.5 goals16.3%
Sportivo Italiano score first47.2%
Arsenal de Sarandí score first39.1%
Sportivo Italiano clean sheet37.6%
Arsenal de Sarandí clean sheet33.1%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420503672
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Sportivo Italiano vs Arsenal de Sarandí prediction FAQs

Who will win Sportivo Italiano vs Arsenal de Sarandí?

Sportivo Italiano are favourites. They win 36.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 32.9% for the draw and 30.3% for Arsenal de Sarandí. Including the draw, Sportivo Italiano avoid defeat 69.7% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Sportivo Italiano vs Arsenal de Sarandí?

1-1, which came up in 14.8% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (14%) and 1-0 (12.1%). The likeliest Sportivo Italiano win is 1-0 (12.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Sportivo Italiano vs Arsenal de Sarandí?

Both teams score in 43.3% of simulations. Sportivo Italiano keep a clean sheet 37.6% of the time and Arsenal de Sarandí 33.1%.

How many goals will there be in Sportivo Italiano vs Arsenal de Sarandí?

The simulations average 2.10 goals: 1.11 for Sportivo Italiano and 0.99 for Arsenal de Sarandí. Over 1.5 goals lands 63.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 35.1% and over 3.5 goals 16.3%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.