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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Sportivo Luqueño vs Sportivo San Lorenzo 100,000 times. Sportivo Luqueño won 49,123 of them (49.1%), the draw came up 27.5% of the time and Sportivo San Lorenzo won 23.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.9%, while the likeliest Sportivo Luqueño win is 1-0 (11.6%). Both teams score in 49.2% of simulations.
Full time 3-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Sportivo Luqueño winning 49.1% and gave this exact score 2.3%.
| Sportivo Luqueño win | 49.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.5% |
| Sportivo San Lorenzo win | 23.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.53 – 0.98 |
| Both teams to score | 49.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 24.5% |
| Sportivo Luqueño score first | 56.1% |
| Sportivo San Lorenzo score first | 35% |
| Sportivo Luqueño clean sheet | 38.1% |
| Sportivo San Lorenzo clean sheet | 22.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420586872 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Sportivo Luqueño are favourites. They win 49.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.5% for the draw and 23.3% for Sportivo San Lorenzo. Including the draw, Sportivo Luqueño avoid defeat 76.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.9% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (11.6%) and 2-0 (9.5%). The likeliest Sportivo Luqueño win is 1-0 (11.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 49.2% of simulations. Sportivo Luqueño keep a clean sheet 38.1% of the time and Sportivo San Lorenzo 22.1%.
The simulations average 2.51 goals: 1.53 for Sportivo Luqueño and 0.98 for Sportivo San Lorenzo. Over 1.5 goals lands 71.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 45.6% and over 3.5 goals 24.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.