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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated St. Johnstone vs Dundee 100,000 times. St. Johnstone won 43,434 of them (43.4%), the draw came up 24.3% of the time and Dundee won 32.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.2%, while the likeliest St. Johnstone win is 2-1 (8.9%). Both teams score in 59.5% of simulations.
| St. Johnstone win | 43.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.3% |
| Dundee win | 32.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.63 – 1.37 |
| Both teams to score | 59.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.1% |
| St. Johnstone score first | 52.3% |
| Dundee score first | 42.4% |
| St. Johnstone clean sheet | 25.8% |
| Dundee clean sheet | 20.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420599267 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
St. Johnstone are favourites. They win 43.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.3% for the draw and 32.3% for Dundee. Including the draw, St. Johnstone avoid defeat 67.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.2% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.9%) and 1-0 (8.1%). The likeliest St. Johnstone win is 2-1 (8.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 59.5% of simulations. St. Johnstone keep a clean sheet 25.8% of the time and Dundee 20.1%.
The simulations average 2.99 goals: 1.63 for St. Johnstone and 1.37 for Dundee. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 57.3% and over 3.5 goals 35.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.