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Ireland Premier Division · 100,000 simulations

St Patrick's vs Bohemians prediction

We simulated St Patrick's vs Bohemians 100,000 times. St Patrick's won 53,080 of them (53.1%), the draw came up 25.7% of the time and Bohemians won 21.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.1%, while the likeliest St Patrick's win is 2-1 (9.6%). Both teams score in 54.2% of simulations.

St Patrick's badge
St Patrick's Richmond Park
2–3 Full time
Bohemians badge
Bohemians Away
53.1% 53,080 wins
25.7% Draw
21.2% 21,224 wins
Expected goals
1.77 – 1.04
Likeliest score
1-1 12.1% Top St Patrick's win: 2-1 9.6%
Both score
54.2%
Over 2.5
53%

Full time 2-3. Before kick-off the simulations had Bohemians winning 21.2%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Robert Hennessy Richmond Park, Dublin
St Patrick's vs Bohemians live score, stats & lineups

St Patrick's vs Bohemians in numbers 100,000 simulations · Ireland Premier Division · Friday 30 October, 19:45

St Patrick's vs Bohemians simulation probabilities
St Patrick's win53.1%
Draw25.7%
Bohemians win21.2%
Most likely score1-1 (12.1%)
Expected goals1.77 – 1.04
Both teams to score54.2%
Over 1.5 goals77.8%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Over 3.5 goals31%
St Patrick's score first57.9%
Bohemians score first34.6%
St Patrick's clean sheet35.7%
Bohemians clean sheet17.5%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420498414
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

St Patrick's vs Bohemians prediction FAQs

Who will win St Patrick's vs Bohemians?

St Patrick's are favourites. They win 53.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.7% for the draw and 21.2% for Bohemians. Including the draw, St Patrick's avoid defeat 78.8% of the time.

What is the most likely score in St Patrick's vs Bohemians?

1-1, which came up in 12.1% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (9.6%). The likeliest St Patrick's win is 2-1 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in St Patrick's vs Bohemians?

Both teams score in 54.2% of simulations. St Patrick's keep a clean sheet 35.7% of the time and Bohemians 17.5%.

How many goals will there be in St Patrick's vs Bohemians?

The simulations average 2.80 goals: 1.77 for St Patrick's and 1.04 for Bohemians. Over 1.5 goals lands 77.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 53% and over 3.5 goals 31%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.