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Club Friendlies 3 · 100,000 simulations

St. Pauli vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction

We simulated St. Pauli vs Borussia Mönchengladbach 100,000 times. Borussia Mönchengladbach won 42,155 of them (42.2%), the draw came up 25% of the time and St. Pauli won 32.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.2%, while the likeliest Borussia Mönchengladbach win is 1-2 (8.7%). Both teams score in 63.7% of simulations.

St. Pauli badge
St. Pauli Millerntor-Stadion
1–1 Full time
Borussia Mönchengladbach badge
Borussia Mönchengladbach Away
32.9% 32,891 wins
25% Draw
42.2% 42,155 wins
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.71
Likeliest score
1-1 11.2% Top Borussia win: 1-2 8.7%
Both score
63.7%
Over 2.5
61.7%

Full time 1-1. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 25% and gave this exact score 11.2%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg
St. Pauli vs Borussia Mönchengladbach live score, stats & lineups

St. Pauli vs Borussia Mönchengladbach in numbers 100,000 simulations · Club Friendlies 3 · Saturday 3 October, 14:30

St. Pauli vs Borussia Mönchengladbach simulation probabilities
St. Pauli win32.9%
Draw25%
Borussia Mönchengladbach win42.2%
Most likely score1-1 (11.2%)
Expected goals1.49 – 1.71
Both teams to score63.7%
Over 1.5 goals83.4%
Over 2.5 goals61.7%
Over 3.5 goals39.7%
St. Pauli score first43.2%
Borussia Mönchengladbach score first51.6%
St. Pauli clean sheet18.5%
Borussia Mönchengladbach clean sheet22.9%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420720214
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

St. Pauli vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction FAQs

Who will win St. Pauli vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

Borussia Mönchengladbach are favourites. They win 42.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25% for the draw and 32.9% for St. Pauli. Including the draw, Borussia Mönchengladbach avoid defeat 67.1% of the time.

What is the most likely score in St. Pauli vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

1-1, which came up in 11.2% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.7%) and 2-1 (7.6%). The likeliest Borussia Mönchengladbach win is 1-2 (8.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in St. Pauli vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

Both teams score in 63.7% of simulations. St. Pauli keep a clean sheet 18.5% of the time and Borussia Mönchengladbach 22.9%.

How many goals will there be in St. Pauli vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

The simulations average 3.20 goals: 1.49 for St. Pauli and 1.71 for Borussia Mönchengladbach. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 61.7% and over 3.5 goals 39.7%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.