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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Stade Nyonnais vs Aarau 100,000 times. Aarau won 61,464 of them (61.5%), the draw came up 19.7% of the time and Stade Nyonnais won 18.9%. The most likely score is 1-2 (9.3%), and both teams score in 63.6% of simulations.
Full time 2-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Stade Nyonnais winning 18.9% and gave this exact score 5%.
| Stade Nyonnais win | 18.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 19.7% |
| Aarau win | 61.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-2 (9.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.23 – 2.34 |
| Both teams to score | 63.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 47.5% |
| Stade Nyonnais score first | 34.1% |
| Aarau score first | 62.6% |
| Stade Nyonnais clean sheet | 10.1% |
| Aarau clean sheet | 29.6% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420668823 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Aarau are favourites. They win 61.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 19.7% for the draw and 18.9% for Stade Nyonnais. Including the draw, Aarau avoid defeat 81.2% of the time.
1-2, which came up in 9.3% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 63.6% of simulations. Stade Nyonnais keep a clean sheet 10.1% of the time and Aarau 29.6%.
The simulations average 3.56 goals: 1.23 for Stade Nyonnais and 2.34 for Aarau. Over 1.5 goals lands 87% of the time, over 2.5 goals 68.7% and over 3.5 goals 47.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.